Purple Heart Draw
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (15 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1029 | 73% | 2021-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-06-10 | | Won |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2019-02-12 | | Won |
| 1218 | 938 | 83% | 2018-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1222 | 22% | 2017-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1222 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 952 | 64% | 2015-04-17 | | Won |
| 1055 | 952 | 64% | 2015-01-16 | | Won |
| 1005 | 962 | 56% | 2013-12-28 | | Lost |
| 964 | 996 | 45% | 2013-12-01 | | Won |
| 987 | 1060 | 40% | 2013-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-07-18 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1015 | 75% | 2011-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1130 | 1080 | 57% | 2010-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2009-04-17 | | Tied |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1094.7 vs 1013.9 has a 61.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).