Purple Heart Draw
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1168 | 1077 | 63% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1057 | 981 | 61% | 2019-02-12 | Won |
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 938 | 1242 | 15% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 1242 | 971 | 83% | 2017-08-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1044 | 51% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 1044 | 51% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 979 | 996 | 48% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1057 | 39% | 2013-02-05 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1018 | 77% | 2011-07-18 | Won |
| 1168 | 1011 | 71% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1031 | 69% | 2010-03-18 | Lost |
| 1034 | 971 | 59% | 2009-04-17 | Tied |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1093.9 vs 1029.2 has a 59.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).