The Baron's Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (White Russian): 1
Defender wins (Red Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1091 | 37% | 2021-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2010-11-04 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1121 vs 1045.5 has a 60.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).