Der Letzte Geburtstag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (13 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 1097 | 28% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 1045 | 931 | 66% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 958 | 1226 | 18% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1182 | 44% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 918 | 1103 | 26% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1036 | 46% | 2010-05-16 | Won |
| 1148 | 1274 | 33% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2009-12-30 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1243 | 22% | 2009-10-29 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1019 | 78% | 2009-10-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 973 | 57% | 2009-10-23 | Won |
| 1087 | 1086 | 50% | 2009-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1094.9 has a 45.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).