Sink's Encouragement
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (33 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 55
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-01-02 | A | Won |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2023-10-29 | | Won |
| 917 | 1172 | 19% | 2022-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2022-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1055 | 62% | 2021-10-26 | | Lost |
| 945 | 925 | 53% | 2021-08-31 | | Won |
| 964 | 1043 | 39% | 2021-08-24 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1018 | 40% | 2021-08-17 | | Lost |
| 925 | 1000 | 39% | 2021-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-06-27 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2019-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2018-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2018-08-15 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-03-24 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-08-30 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1006 | 79% | 2014-10-01 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1006 | 79% | 2014-10-01 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2014-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2013-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2012-10-31 | | Lost |
| 917 | 1000 | 38% | 2012-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 870 | 68% | 2011-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2011-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2011-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2010-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1215 | 913 | 85% | 2009-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2009-11-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1004.9 has a 53.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).