The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (22 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (British): 37
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 1000 | 41% | 2026-05-03 | | Won |
| 901 | 1000 | 36% | 2023-10-09 | A | Lost |
| 984 | 990 | 49% | 2023-04-19 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1088 | 55% | 2021-09-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 902 | 75% | 2019-12-26 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 946 | 58% | 2015-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1160 | 1000 | 72% | 2014-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2013-06-29 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1168 | 967 | 76% | 2012-07-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 913 | 62% | 2012-06-17 | | Won |
| 1160 | 886 | 83% | 2012-04-28 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2011-06-24 | | Lost |
| 838 | 1002 | 28% | 2011-06-21 | | Lost |
| 946 | 1015 | 40% | 2011-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1281 | 1000 | 83% | 2010-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1281 | 1000 | 83% | 2010-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2010-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1042 | 46% | 2010-05-28 | | Won |
| 837 | 1095 | 18% | 2010-04-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 996.2 has a 57.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).