The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (19 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (British): 35
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 893 | 53% | 2023-10-09 | Lost |
| 814 | 978 | 28% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1081 | 60% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 1008 | 991 | 52% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1079 | 976 | 64% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1238 | 1190 | 57% | 2016-04-15 | Won |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2015-01-04 | Lost |
| 1181 | 977 | 76% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1089 | 1044 | 56% | 2013-04-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1009 | 64% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1014 | 1001 | 52% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1086 | 1134 | 43% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 960 | 1010 | 43% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1037 | 53% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1169 | 72% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1169 | 72% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1181 | 26% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1080.5 vs 1054.1 has a 53.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).