The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (21 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (British): 36
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2023-10-09 | Lost |
| 754 | 978 | 22% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 976 | 69% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1189 | 1191 | 50% | 2016-04-15 | Won |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2015-01-04 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1207 | 42% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 977 | 61% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 1044 | 51% | 2013-04-20 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1007 | 64% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1152 | 882 | 83% | 2012-04-28 | Won |
| 1091 | 1133 | 44% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 927 | 1010 | 38% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1036 | 54% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1168 | 72% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1168 | 72% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1060.6 has a 51.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).