The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (19 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (British): 35
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 928 | 50% | 2023-10-09 | Lost |
| 831 | 979 | 30% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1161 | 1040 | 67% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1090 | 976 | 66% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1205 | 1190 | 52% | 2016-04-15 | Won |
| 976 | 1023 | 43% | 2015-01-04 | Lost |
| 865 | 977 | 34% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1050 | 1114 | 41% | 2013-04-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1010 | 64% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1013 | 1024 | 48% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1061 | 1134 | 40% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 966 | 1010 | 44% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1037 | 48% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1169 | 68% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1169 | 68% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 983 | 1149 | 28% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 1126 | 1020 | 65% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.7 vs 1054.7 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).