Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (30 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 67
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1165 | 48% | 2026-03-08 | Won |
| 1196 | 1152 | 56% | 2025-12-02 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2025-05-29 | Won |
| 976 | 937 | 56% | 2025-01-31 | Lost |
| 928 | 939 | 48% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 1076 | 1051 | 54% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 932 | 944 | 48% | 2021-04-10 | Lost |
| 996 | 1037 | 44% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 989 | 914 | 61% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1133 | 52% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 869 | 1216 | 12% | 2016-09-10 | Lost |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 894 | 870 | 53% | 2014-02-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1087 | 1143 | 42% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1143 | 34% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1087 | 58% | 2010-10-15 | Lost |
| 916 | 1101 | 26% | 2010-09-25 | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
| 1127 | 1034 | 63% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 988 | 1070 | 38% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-04-06 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1048 | 53% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1038 | 49% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1048.7 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).