Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (27 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 63
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 947 | 49% | 2025-01-31 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 1155 | 993 | 72% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 844 | 945 | 36% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 931 | 945 | 48% | 2021-04-10 | Lost |
| 994 | 987 | 51% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 997 | 915 | 62% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 1005 | 999 | 51% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1102 | 39% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 907 | 1219 | 14% | 2016-09-10 | Lost |
| 1022 | 977 | 56% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 894 | 870 | 53% | 2014-02-04 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1029 | 48% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1176 | 1190 | 48% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1190 | 31% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1176 | 29% | 2010-10-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 938 | 72% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
| 899 | 1098 | 24% | 2010-09-25 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1035 | 59% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1081 | 62% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 852 | 1018 | 28% | 2010-04-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1074 | 56% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1035 | 51% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1024.2 vs 1045.5 has a 46.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).