Shouting Into The Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 187 (36 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 99
Defender wins (Russian): 88
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1087 | 1040 | 57% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
941 | 1210 | 18% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
1284 | 1016 | 82% | 2021-12-24 | Won |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
980 | 997 | 48% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
1210 | 1159 | 57% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
1156 | 1142 | 52% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
1030 | 1016 | 52% | 2020-11-30 | Won |
1144 | 971 | 73% | 2020-04-09 | Lost |
1099 | 1198 | 36% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
998 | 998 | 50% | 2018-03-13 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2017-07-23 | Lost |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
1327 | 928 | 91% | 2016-03-19 | Won |
1002 | 1078 | 39% | 2015-07-25 | Won |
1228 | 1028 | 76% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
1128 | 994 | 68% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
1001 | 1028 | 46% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
1131 | 1028 | 64% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
1085 | 1095 | 49% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
1143 | 1068 | 61% | 2014-11-04 | Won |
1095 | 1116 | 47% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
959 | 883 | 61% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
1184 | 1095 | 63% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
975 | 1008 | 45% | 2012-01-02 | Won |
1019 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
1064 | 1360 | 15% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
1004 | 925 | 61% | 2011-02-15 | Lost |
865 | 1083 | 22% | 2011-01-18 | Lost |
1041 | 1307 | 18% | 2011-01-12 | Won |
1197 | 1089 | 65% | 2010-09-26 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2010-09-15 | Lost |
1080 | 1197 | 34% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
1108 | 883 | 79% | 2010-07-23 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1082.5 vs 1078.3 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).