Shouting Into The Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1108 | 25% | 2024-08-01 | Won |
| 992 | 1064 | 40% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1100 | 60% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 966 | 975 | 49% | 2024-06-11 | Won |
| 1091 | 1147 | 42% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 1193 | 37% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 1310 | 1068 | 80% | 2024-05-29 | Won |
| 1087 | 1040 | 57% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 968 | 1055 | 38% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1196 | 31% | 2022-10-03 | Lost |
| 937 | 931 | 51% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2021-12-24 | Won |
| 981 | 998 | 48% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 981 | 1216 | 21% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 931 | 1173 | 20% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1143 | 54% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2020-11-30 | Won |
| 1200 | 902 | 85% | 2020-04-09 | Lost |
| 1064 | 998 | 59% | 2019-10-05 | Won |
| 1096 | 1140 | 44% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1053 | 1062 | 49% | 2018-03-13 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2017-07-23 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1138 | 35% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1275 | 928 | 88% | 2016-03-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1049 | 43% | 2015-07-25 | Won |
| 1227 | 1077 | 70% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1001 | 1077 | 39% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1102 | 966 | 69% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1133 | 1077 | 58% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1108 | 1139 | 46% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1143 | 1067 | 61% | 2014-11-04 | Won |
| 1139 | 1116 | 53% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 937 | 882 | 58% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1099 | 59% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 977 | 1022 | 44% | 2012-01-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1400 | 13% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1004 | 1148 | 30% | 2011-02-15 | Lost |
| 864 | 1063 | 24% | 2011-01-18 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1310 | 18% | 2011-01-12 | Won |
| 1183 | 1090 | 63% | 2010-09-26 | Won |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2010-09-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1183 | 36% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1017 | 884 | 68% | 2010-07-23 | Lost |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
| 1118 | 1138 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1071.8 vs 1085.7 has a 48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).