Vogt's Ritterkreuz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (14 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (Dutch): 27
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2025-01-14 | Won |
| 1210 | 1139 | 60% | 2024-06-30 | Won |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 959 | 1219 | 18% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 1038 | 861 | 73% | 2018-04-09 | Won |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 982 | 54% | 2017-02-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-05-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-04-09 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2013-04-23 | Won |
| 948 | 1038 | 37% | 2010-10-26 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2010-09-08 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1067.6 vs 1055.5 has a 51.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).