Bad Moon Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (8 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1143 | 33% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2019-12-20 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1048 | 83% | 2017-09-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1106 | 44% | 2014-09-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 2012-05-25 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1122 | 56% | 2012-02-09 | Won |
| 1182 | 994 | 75% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1107.6 vs 1078.3 has a 54.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).