Bad Moon Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2021-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2019-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1089 | 68% | 2017-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1108 | 45% | 2014-09-30 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-02-09 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2010-11-25 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1092.9 vs 1056.1 has a 55.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).