Bad Moon Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (8 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1134 | 31% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2019-12-20 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1088 | 72% | 2017-09-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1107 | 45% | 2014-09-30 | Won |
| 1065 | 1096 | 46% | 2012-05-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1120 | 45% | 2012-02-09 | Won |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1096.9 vs 1091.4 has a 50.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).