Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 180 (44 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 91
Defender wins (Russian): 89
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 942 | 58% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 906 | 890 | 52% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 986 | 1014 | 46% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 945 | 1141 | 24% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1178 | 1066 | 66% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 1149 | 28% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1041 | 46% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
| 970 | 977 | 49% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 897 | 1204 | 15% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1095 | 1073 | 53% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 897 | 1087 | 25% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 768 | 970 | 24% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1128 | 38% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1219 | 907 | 86% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
| 748 | 1266 | 5% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1266 | 34% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1019 | 1018 | 50% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1137 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1044 | 37% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 977 | 1132 | 29% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 1012 | 57% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 992 | 1080 | 38% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1170 | 950 | 78% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
| 1061 | 1055 | 51% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 994 | 938 | 58% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1018 | 78% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1310 | 38% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 928 | 62% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 1310 | 1100 | 77% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 880 | 68% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 977 | 1150 | 27% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
| 1121 | 1110 | 52% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1058 | 987 | 60% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1035.6 vs 1058.7 has a 46.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).