Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 161 (34 on the archive and 127 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 82
Defender wins (Russian): 79
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1128 | 1065 | 59% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
1026 | 1083 | 42% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
1092 | 1062 | 54% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
994 | 1216 | 22% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
1168 | 1000 | 72% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
994 | 1052 | 42% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
802 | 1168 | 11% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
1021 | 941 | 61% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
1284 | 905 | 90% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
980 | 1029 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
804 | 1175 | 11% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
1157 | 1175 | 47% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
992 | 1023 | 46% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
1137 | 1135 | 50% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
1004 | 1046 | 44% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
1000 | 1144 | 30% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
1144 | 1000 | 70% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
1008 | 1032 | 47% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
1003 | 1087 | 38% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
925 | 948 | 47% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
1061 | 1055 | 51% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
838 | 937 | 36% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
1228 | 1019 | 77% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
1224 | 1307 | 38% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
1006 | 987 | 53% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
1307 | 1100 | 77% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
959 | 883 | 61% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
964 | 1095 | 32% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
1008 | 987 | 53% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1056.9 has a 48.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).