Pursuing Kobayashi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (10 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2022-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2020-11-04 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1080 | 48% | 2020-11-01 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2020-04-09 | | Won |
| 921 | 1182 | 18% | 2019-10-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2018-11-17 | | Lost |
| 987 | 917 | 60% | 2016-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2015-01-11 | | Won |
| 1343 | 991 | 88% | 2011-02-05 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1011 | 65% | 2004-12-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1066.1 has a 46.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).