Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Japanese): 14
Defender wins (British): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1200 | 26% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1211 | 45% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 947 | 946 | 50% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 1218 | 41% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
| 920 | 1064 | 30% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 956 | 1067 | 35% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1176 | 28% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 1243 | 1226 | 52% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 943 | 871 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1044 | 1058 | 48% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1079 | 45% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 972 | 1009 | 45% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 1028 | 62% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1052 | 940 | 66% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1031 vs 1072.4 has a 44.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).