Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Japanese): 13
Defender wins (British): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1210 | 44% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 930 | 943 | 48% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 919 | 1098 | 26% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 874 | 848 | 54% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 930 | 1132 | 24% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1137 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 955 | 1066 | 35% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1175 | 28% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 1243 | 1223 | 53% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 930 | 1132 | 24% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 942 | 870 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1073 | 1059 | 52% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1043 | 54% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1142 | 1122 | 53% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 1056 | 58% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1080 | 940 | 69% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1030.9 vs 1057.7 has a 46.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).