Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Japanese): 12
Defender wins (British): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1038 | 43% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 959 | 1040 | 39% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 841 | 841 | 50% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 989 | 1133 | 30% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1137 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 953 | 1067 | 34% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1164 | 32% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1204 | 21% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 989 | 1133 | 30% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 942 | 870 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1145 | 1101 | 56% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1061 | 62% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1151 | 1151 | 50% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 920 | 1000 | 39% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1107 | 907 | 76% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 923 | 64% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1020.1 vs 1038.9 has a 47.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).