Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Japanese): 14
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1184 | 53% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1210 | 53% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 991 | 948 | 56% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1219 | 39% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
| 919 | 1073 | 29% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 991 | 1125 | 32% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 957 | 1071 | 34% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1091 | 75% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1111 | 73% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1192 | 27% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 1243 | 1226 | 52% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1125 | 32% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 942 | 870 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1094 | 1015 | 61% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1098 | 49% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 1098 | 1064 | 55% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1228 | 28% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1124 | 1065 | 58% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1045 | 940 | 65% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1084.3 vs 1080.5 has a 50.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).