Guns for St. Barbara
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1191 | 44% | 2022-07-26 | Won |
| 906 | 1219 | 14% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1219 | 28% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 989 | 959 | 54% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 978 | 1009 | 46% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 1158 | 32% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 1037 | 52% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1152 | 1147 | 51% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-06-15 | Tied |
| 1056 | 998 | 58% | 2014-05-15 | Won |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 2012-04-09 | Won |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-07-04 | Won |
| 1107 | 970 | 69% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1038 | 1154 | 34% | 2011-03-19 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1118 | 62% | 2011-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1070.6 has a 46.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).