Guns for St. Barbara
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1123 | 54% | 2022-07-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1217 | 13% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1217 | 29% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1054 | 950 | 65% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1158 | 27% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1047 | 1037 | 51% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1151 | 1163 | 48% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 998 | 1016 | 47% | 2014-06-15 | Tied |
| 1056 | 907 | 70% | 2014-05-15 | Won |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 1091 | 54% | 2012-04-09 | Won |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-07-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 970 | 71% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1038 | 1144 | 35% | 2011-03-19 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1073 | 68% | 2011-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1055.6 has a 48.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).