N-463
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Free French): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1156 | 31% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
| 873 | 892 | 47% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1020 | 52% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 982 | 62% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 851 | 982 | 32% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1141 | 37% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-03-17 | Won |
| 1009 | 1152 | 31% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
| 879 | 961 | 38% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1020 | 53% | 2018-07-24 | Won |
| 1022 | 990 | 55% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 1007 | 989 | 53% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
| 1020 | 1114 | 37% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2015-11-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 987 | 65% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-17 | Won |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2012-12-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-03-11 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1044 | 45% | 2012-02-12 | Won |
| 1216 | 1002 | 77% | 2011-12-20 | Lost |
| 985 | 1003 | 47% | 2011-10-19 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1052.5 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).