Close Encounter of the Bad Kind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2026-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2021-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 1000 | 81% | 2011-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2011-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1187 | 1015 | 73% | 2011-06-02 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1187 | 27% | 2011-05-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1079.1 has a 48.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).