Close Encounter of the Bad Kind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (5 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 4
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 997 | 57% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1030 | 58% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1092 | 58% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1011 | 72% | 2011-06-02 | Won |
| 1011 | 1176 | 28% | 2011-05-26 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1093.8 vs 1061.2 has a 54.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).