Red Ruin Roulette
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-03-12 | Lost |
| 971 | 1013 | 44% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1169 | 32% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 613 | 715 | 36% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 947 | 71% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1102 | 947 | 71% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 841 | 1135 | 16% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 951.1 vs 989.4 has a 44.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).