Go Big or Go Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 868 | 868 | 50% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 900 | 891 | 51% | 2025-01-08 | Lost |
| 956 | 906 | 57% | 2024-12-19 | Lost |
| 1071 | 906 | 72% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1147 | 46% | 2023-01-25 | Won |
| 925 | 1204 | 17% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1204 | 925 | 83% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1003 | 989 | 52% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 1014 | 46% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 956 | 906 | 57% | 2017-05-11 | Won |
| 1050 | 906 | 70% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 1020 | 906 | 66% | 2017-03-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 906 | 58% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1125 | 975 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1125 | 53% | 2014-09-10 | Lost |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1141 | 55% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
| 1073 | 1132 | 42% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1025 | 38% | 2012-09-26 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1017 | 83% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 1017 | 748 | 82% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 974 | 1094 | 33% | 2012-01-24 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1041 | 47% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1041 | 47% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1107 | 46% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
| 992 | 1131 | 31% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1008.9 vs 1006.5 has a 50.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).