Go Big or Go Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (35 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (French): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 868 | 868 | 50% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 901 | 891 | 51% | 2025-01-08 | Lost |
| 953 | 940 | 52% | 2024-12-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 940 | 74% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1138 | 54% | 2023-01-25 | Won |
| 925 | 1180 | 19% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1180 | 925 | 81% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1007 | 49% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 1089 | 35% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 956 | 940 | 52% | 2017-05-11 | Won |
| 1050 | 940 | 65% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 1018 | 940 | 61% | 2017-03-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 940 | 53% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1125 | 975 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1125 | 53% | 2014-09-10 | Lost |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1088 | 1109 | 47% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1100 | 62% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
| 1084 | 1133 | 43% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 936 | 1019 | 38% | 2012-09-26 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 737 | 82% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 985 | 1107 | 33% | 2012-01-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1002 | 51% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1002 | 51% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1131 | 39% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
| 992 | 1103 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1014.3 vs 1011.9 has a 50.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).