Go Big or Go Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (35 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (French): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 868 | 868 | 50% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 869 | 891 | 47% | 2025-01-08 | Lost |
| 953 | 950 | 50% | 2024-12-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 950 | 72% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 893 | 893 | 50% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1138 | 55% | 2023-01-25 | Won |
| 925 | 1188 | 18% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1188 | 925 | 82% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1007 | 49% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1113 | 45% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1203 | 31% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 1067 | 38% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 956 | 950 | 51% | 2017-05-11 | Won |
| 1050 | 950 | 64% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 1018 | 950 | 60% | 2017-03-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 950 | 51% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1125 | 975 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1125 | 53% | 2014-09-10 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1113 | 45% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 1077 | 1113 | 45% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1090 | 64% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
| 1083 | 1133 | 43% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 936 | 1019 | 38% | 2012-09-26 | Lost |
| 1133 | 989 | 70% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 1077 | 55% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 989 | 731 | 82% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 985 | 1109 | 33% | 2012-01-24 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1037 | 48% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1037 | 48% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1132 | 36% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
| 992 | 1122 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1036.9 vs 1029.3 has a 51.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).