Three Card Monty
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2012-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1031 | 73% | 2012-01-28 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1055 | 62% | 2011-10-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1113 vs 1058.7 has a 57.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).