Three Card Monty
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (3 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1140 | 33% | 2012-07-28 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1022 | 71% | 2012-01-28 | Won |
| 1145 | 1089 | 58% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1114.3 vs 1083.7 has a 54.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).