It's Not Over
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (21 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (French): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1184 | 1159 | 54% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 975 | 968 | 51% | 2025-06-07 | Won |
| 1184 | 1038 | 70% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2024-08-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-01-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 958 | 63% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1226 | 1049 | 73% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1040 | 59% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1217 | 1100 | 66% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1137 | 45% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1090 | 37% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1139 | 56% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1113 | 49% | 2013-11-04 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | 2013-10-31 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1003 | 60% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1072 | 1003 | 60% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1113 | 1108 | 51% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 731 | 1139 | 9% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1048 | 69% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1108 | 38% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1124 | 1100 | 53% | 2011-11-22 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1107.4 vs 1081.9 has a 53.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).