It's Not Over
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (17 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (French): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1096 | 78% | 2024-08-13 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-01-21 | Lost |
| 1054 | 963 | 63% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1223 | 1036 | 75% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1040 | 61% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 1098 | 67% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1137 | 44% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 1137 | 31% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2013-11-04 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1109 | 54% | 2013-10-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 945 | 69% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1086 | 945 | 69% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1147 | 904 | 80% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1032 | 47% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2011-11-22 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1126.8 vs 1056.6 has a 59.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).