Crossfire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1043 | 49% | 2025-06-15 | Won |
| 1098 | 1176 | 39% | 2024-04-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1054 | 69% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1016 | 55% | 2022-05-21 | Lost |
| 870 | 894 | 47% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 870 | 1064 | 25% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 1020 | 964 | 58% | 2021-09-11 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1048 | 49% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1048 | 57% | 2021-04-12 | Won |
| 1242 | 1176 | 59% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2016-07-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1020 | 55% | 2015-10-23 | Tied |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-06-08 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1037 | 50% | 2015-02-02 | Lost |
| 1032 | 764 | 82% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1067 | 43% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 963 | 1067 | 35% | 2012-12-23 | Lost |
| 1020 | 932 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1215 | 1060 | 71% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 1008 | 1052 | 44% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1099 | 52% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
| 1093 | 998 | 63% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 1149 | 1152 | 50% | 2012-04-19 | Lost |
| 1028 | 920 | 65% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1114 | 57% | 2012-02-21 | Lost |
| 1006 | 928 | 61% | 2012-02-11 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1037 has a 52.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).