Crossfire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1044 | 49% | 2025-06-15 | Won |
| 1072 | 1192 | 33% | 2024-04-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1055 | 67% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 1073 | 999 | 60% | 2022-05-21 | Lost |
| 941 | 894 | 57% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 941 | 1042 | 36% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 1092 | 913 | 74% | 2021-09-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1024 | 60% | 2021-04-12 | Won |
| 919 | 1264 | 12% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1063 | 67% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-07-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1092 | 45% | 2015-10-23 | Tied |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2015-06-08 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1038 | 50% | 2015-02-02 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1045 | 48% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1071 | 43% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 967 | 1071 | 35% | 2012-12-23 | Lost |
| 1023 | 950 | 60% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1215 | 1117 | 64% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 958 | 1000 | 44% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1098 | 53% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 887 | 76% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 1147 | 1140 | 51% | 2012-04-19 | Lost |
| 938 | 920 | 53% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1157 | 43% | 2012-02-21 | Lost |
| 1006 | 927 | 61% | 2012-02-11 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048 vs 1047 has a 50.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).