The Gateway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1241 | 19% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1159 | 40% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 984 | 755 | 79% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 954 | 1112 | 29% | 2023-05-30 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1017 | 79% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1083 | 902 | 74% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 972 | 1263 | 16% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 1129 | 965 | 72% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 913 | 937 | 47% | 2013-09-16 | Lost |
| 1039 | 985 | 58% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 1120 | 35% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 961 | 1060 | 36% | 2013-01-06 | Won |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2012-11-09 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1052 | 48% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1040.6 has a 48.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).