Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (25 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (American / FFI): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 923 | 72% | 2025-08-11 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1089 | 67% | 2025-05-28 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1074 | 66% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1120 | 47% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 947 | 995 | 43% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1072 | 60% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1037 | 43% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1034 | 1256 | 22% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1007 | 54% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1008 | 891 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1170 | 1127 | 56% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 969 | 982 | 48% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 883 | 1140 | 19% | 2014-03-08 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1098 | 53% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1072 | 39% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1032 | 980 | 57% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 994 | 982 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1111 | 57% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1075 | 949 | 67% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1260 | 1068 | 75% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1032 | 1018 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1040.9 has a 53.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).