Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (22 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (American / FFI): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1068 | 47% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1050 | 1059 | 49% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1117 | 54% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1038 | 1009 | 54% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1207 | 1086 | 67% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1005 | 48% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1025 | 1209 | 26% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1025 | 986 | 56% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1003 | 889 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1223 | 1109 | 66% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 919 | 982 | 41% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1099 | 54% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1086 | 37% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1032 | 50% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 973 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1081 | 57% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1121 | 988 | 68% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1041.6 has a 54.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).