Mageret Mixer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2024-12-08 | Won |
| 983 | 1028 | 44% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-01-28 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2016-02-12 | Won |
| 1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2014-05-26 | Won |
| 1067 | 1316 | 19% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1098 | 1219 | 33% | 2014-02-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1043 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 963 | 924 | 56% | 2013-08-28 | Lost |
| 1334 | 1040 | 84% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 1038 | 1145 | 35% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2013-02-13 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2013-01-28 | Won |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1064 | 49% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 1009 | 64% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1085.2 vs 1059.4 has a 53.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).