Mageret Mixer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (16 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 48
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
992 | 985 | 51% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
1017 | 917 | 64% | 2018-01-28 | Lost |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2016-02-12 | Won |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
1068 | 1105 | 45% | 2014-05-26 | Won |
907 | 1307 | 9% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
1097 | 1284 | 25% | 2014-02-16 | Won |
963 | 1012 | 43% | 2013-08-28 | Lost |
1340 | 1058 | 84% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
1008 | 1145 | 31% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2013-02-13 | Won |
925 | 1000 | 39% | 2013-01-28 | Won |
1056 | 1064 | 49% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1075.3 vs 1079.1 has a 49.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).