The Bet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Norwegian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1311 | 1284 | 54% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
1008 | 1087 | 39% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
1138 | 887 | 81% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
884 | 989 | 35% | 2015-05-16 | Lost |
980 | 1079 | 36% | 2014-02-24 | Lost |
1029 | 1003 | 54% | 2014-02-08 | Won |
1087 | 858 | 79% | 2013-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1026.7 has a 55.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).