Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1115 | 66% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 927 | 1039 | 34% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1019 | 59% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1154 | 1219 | 41% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1217 | 1219 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1038 | 976 | 59% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 993 | 949 | 56% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1038 | 861 | 73% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
| 978 | 1037 | 42% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
| 1109 | 921 | 75% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1078 | 51% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1099 | 49% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
| 947 | 1015 | 40% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1147 | 1086 | 59% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1147 | 41% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1133 | 990 | 69% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1061 | 1026 | 55% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1066 | 919 | 70% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 1137 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1110 | 1136 | 46% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1218 | 957 | 82% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1072 vs 1043.5 has a 54.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).