Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (29 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 40
Defender wins (German): 55
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1258 | 989 | 82% | 2025-07-22 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2025-03-03 | A | Lost |
| 1198 | 940 | 82% | 2024-06-21 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2023-03-11 | | Won |
| 977 | 1063 | 38% | 2022-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1028 | 50% | 2021-06-12 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2021-02-14 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1218 | 37% | 2021-01-20 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1218 | 42% | 2021-01-19 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2020-04-20 | | Won |
| 993 | 950 | 56% | 2019-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 862 | 84% | 2018-06-19 | | Won |
| 978 | 1019 | 44% | 2016-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2015-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2015-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 928 | 70% | 2015-04-22 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1099 | 51% | 2014-08-27 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2014-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2014-02-20 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2014-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2014-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2013-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2013-10-05 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1049 | 51% | 2013-09-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2013-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2013-02-09 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1126 | 78% | 2013-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1126 | 78% | 2013-01-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1083.3 vs 1026.8 has a 58.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).