Gallant Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (10 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1161 | 31% | 2026-03-24 | Lost |
| 961 | 1099 | 31% | 2025-03-30 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1080 | 40% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1125 | 55% | 2021-09-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 984 | 57% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1228 | 1143 | 62% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 984 | 53% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 1220 | 1028 | 75% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2014-03-29 | Lost |
| 989 | 1002 | 48% | 2013-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1067.2 vs 1071.3 has a 49.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).