Gallant Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1197 | 24% | 2026-03-24 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1093 | 30% | 2025-03-30 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1143 | 26% | 2024-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1111 | 37% | 2019-03-15 | | Won |
| 1189 | 1143 | 57% | 2019-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1111 | 47% | 2016-12-10 | | Won |
| 1292 | 1028 | 82% | 2015-07-11 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2014-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2013-04-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1074.7 vs 1102.2 has a 46.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).