Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (21 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1011 | 51% | 2025-11-11 | Lost |
| 1075 | 920 | 71% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1054 | 1182 | 32% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 929 | 1148 | 22% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1113 | 41% | 2020-08-05 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1090 | 63% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1122 | 48% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1040 | 49% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1117 | 54% | 2018-07-10 | Won |
| 997 | 959 | 55% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
| 1105 | 1010 | 63% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1035 | 60% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1040 | 47% | 2014-12-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1278 | 14% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 947 | 63% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 997 | 1278 | 17% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1148 | 37% | 2013-12-27 | Lost |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1020 | 890 | 68% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 1064.2 has a 46.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).