War Ensemble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (17 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (British (Gurkha)): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1031 | 54% | 2021-12-07 | Won |
| 1146 | 1005 | 69% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1063 | 1044 | 53% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1055 | 1051 | 51% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1007 | 74% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1101 | 940 | 72% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1078 | 1150 | 40% | 2014-03-15 | Lost |
| 1326 | 1150 | 73% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1025 | 1060 | 45% | 2014-02-08 | Won |
| 1025 | 1060 | 45% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1119 | 982 | 69% | 2014-01-25 | Won |
| 1119 | 1074 | 56% | 2014-01-25 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1182 | 41% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 973 | 1219 | 20% | 2013-11-28 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1171 | 44% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1141 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 1317 | 1063 | 81% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1113.8 vs 1078.2 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).