War Ensemble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (12 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (British (Gurkha)): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1082 | 44% | 2021-12-07 | Won |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1061 | 1049 | 52% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1058 | 1068 | 49% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1032 | 67% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 940 | 71% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1014 | 51% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 959 | 73% | 2014-01-25 | Won |
| 1133 | 1142 | 49% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 974 | 1316 | 12% | 2013-11-28 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1096 | 54% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1254 | 1061 | 75% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1092.6 vs 1061.8 has a 54.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).