War Ensemble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (17 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (British (Gurkha)): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 983 | 60% | 2021-12-07 | Won |
| 1128 | 1005 | 67% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 969 | 1044 | 39% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1055 | 1051 | 51% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1169 | 968 | 76% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1101 | 940 | 72% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1075 | 1149 | 40% | 2014-03-15 | Lost |
| 1326 | 1149 | 73% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1026 | 1033 | 49% | 2014-02-08 | Won |
| 1026 | 1033 | 49% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1159 | 982 | 73% | 2014-01-25 | Won |
| 1234 | 1060 | 73% | 2014-01-25 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 974 | 1223 | 19% | 2013-11-28 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1185 | 42% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1141 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 1313 | 969 | 88% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1117.5 vs 1063.8 has a 57.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).