To the Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (22 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British (Gurkha)): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-03-03 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2022-01-11 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2021-05-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 986 | 64% | 2018-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2016-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2016-07-06 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-01-30 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1046 | 41% | 2015-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2015-02-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 925 | 61% | 2015-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2014-09-13 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2014-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2014-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2014-06-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1003.9 vs 999.3 has a 50.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).