To the Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (22 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British (Gurkha)): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1253 | 999 | 81% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 964 | 1005 | 44% | 2022-01-11 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1039 | 48% | 2021-05-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1133 | 39% | 2019-04-25 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1037 | 58% | 2019-02-22 | Lost |
| 1131 | 900 | 79% | 2018-08-14 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1073 | 65% | 2018-01-22 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1263 | 18% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2016-07-06 | Won |
| 1263 | 958 | 85% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1181 | 47% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2015-08-30 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2015-02-23 | Won |
| 1139 | 1018 | 67% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 1135 | 29% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
| 970 | 1120 | 30% | 2014-09-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1132 | 51% | 2014-08-30 | Lost |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2014-08-14 | Lost |
| 933 | 943 | 49% | 2014-07-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 1343 | 10% | 2014-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1085.1 vs 1082.8 has a 50.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).