To the Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British (Gurkha)): 32
Defender wins (Japanese): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1243 | 991 | 81% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 974 | 1109 | 31% | 2022-01-11 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2019-04-25 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2019-02-22 | Lost |
| 1125 | 984 | 69% | 2018-08-14 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1085 | 63% | 2018-01-22 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1250 | 20% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1250 | 59% | 2016-07-06 | Won |
| 1250 | 962 | 84% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1181 | 50% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 1082 | 984 | 64% | 2015-08-30 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-02-23 | Won |
| 1145 | 1041 | 65% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2014-09-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1130 | 51% | 2014-08-30 | Lost |
| 984 | 1082 | 36% | 2014-08-14 | Lost |
| 929 | 1056 | 32% | 2014-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1096 vs 1086.9 has a 51.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).