Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (18 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 27
Defender wins (Japanese): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1170 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1170 | 31% | 2024-05-20 | Lost |
| 1040 | 976 | 59% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 919 | 938 | 47% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1048 | 62% | 2019-08-15 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1039 | 64% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 981 | 71% | 2019-02-27 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1105 | 76% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1092 | 1001 | 63% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1119 | 46% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1103 | 52% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
| 1137 | 943 | 75% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 1019 | 916 | 64% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 969 | 1105 | 31% | 2014-07-08 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1045 | 57% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1093 vs 1043.9 has a 57.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).