Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (19 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 48
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2024-05-20 | Lost |
| 1082 | 990 | 63% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 977 | 60% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1085 | 44% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 902 | 872 | 54% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2019-08-15 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1045 | 52% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1061 | 975 | 62% | 2019-02-27 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1106 | 77% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1147 | 1001 | 70% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1131 | 52% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1147 | 54% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
| 1137 | 943 | 75% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 945 | 916 | 54% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2014-07-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1091.4 vs 1044.9 has a 56.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).