Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (16 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 27
Defender wins (Japanese): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1020 | 976 | 56% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
919 | 964 | 44% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
1131 | 1044 | 62% | 2019-08-15 | Lost |
1087 | 1038 | 57% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
1087 | 981 | 65% | 2019-02-27 | Lost |
1314 | 1115 | 76% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
944 | 1001 | 42% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
944 | 1119 | 27% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
1119 | 1075 | 56% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
1137 | 943 | 75% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
994 | 917 | 61% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
1011 | 1115 | 35% | 2014-07-08 | Lost |
944 | 1204 | 18% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1050.1 vs 1037.8 has a 51.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).