Hammer Time
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (13 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (Belgian / French): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1058 | 982 | 61% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
1067 | 1094 | 46% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
1094 | 1082 | 52% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
1113 | 1193 | 39% | 2017-09-02 | Won |
1165 | 1002 | 72% | 2016-02-06 | Won |
1120 | 1133 | 48% | 2016-01-25 | Lost |
931 | 1079 | 30% | 2015-12-10 | Lost |
1061 | 974 | 62% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
1166 | 957 | 77% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
1014 | 1061 | 43% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
1141 | 1037 | 65% | 2015-03-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1100.5 vs 1065.3 has a 55.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).