Hammer Time
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (19 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Belgian / French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 972 | 52% | 2026-06-15 | Won |
| 1075 | 1060 | 52% | 2026-05-07 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1017 | 74% | 2026-03-25 | Won |
| 1196 | 1245 | 43% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1073 | 55% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1099 | 1042 | 58% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2017-10-29 | Won |
| 1075 | 1220 | 30% | 2017-09-02 | Won |
| 1178 | 1007 | 73% | 2016-02-06 | Won |
| 1137 | 1127 | 51% | 2016-01-25 | Lost |
| 987 | 1060 | 40% | 2016-01-25 | Won |
| 961 | 1133 | 27% | 2015-12-10 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
| 989 | 1065 | 39% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1046 | 48% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1037 | 77% | 2015-03-13 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1102.4 vs 1073.6 has a 54.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).