Out Of Their Element
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 989 | 70% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1127 | 965 | 72% | 2025-04-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 1004 | 53% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1082 | 47% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1330 | 1065 | 82% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 1057 | 982 | 61% | 2016-02-17 | Won |
| 999 | 1051 | 43% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 940 | 1094 | 29% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1036 | 54% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 890 | 942 | 43% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1330 | 14% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1151 | 48% | 2014-12-11 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1100 | 79% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1057 | 1067 | 49% | 2014-11-04 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1065 | 51% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 958 | 75% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1089 | 1079 | 51% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2012-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1092.4 vs 1054.1 has a 55.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).