Hunters at Ylimaa
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (12 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 18
Defender wins (German): 32
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 994 | 54% | 2024-04-02 | Won |
| 948 | 942 | 51% | 2023-11-22 | Lost |
| 1075 | 942 | 68% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 881 | 942 | 41% | 2017-11-21 | Won |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-06-15 | Lost |
| 890 | 1214 | 13% | 2016-05-29 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1063 | 68% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1022 | 1140 | 34% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
| 897 | 1013 | 34% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
| 933 | 1002 | 40% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 1100 | 42% | 2015-03-05 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1008.2 vs 1032.7 has a 46.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).