Hunters at Ylimaa
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (12 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 18
Defender wins (German): 32
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 938 | 69% | 2024-04-02 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-11-22 | Lost |
| 907 | 989 | 38% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 881 | 989 | 35% | 2017-11-21 | Won |
| 1026 | 1000 | 54% | 2016-06-15 | Lost |
| 890 | 1214 | 13% | 2016-05-29 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1093 | 64% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1069 | 1026 | 56% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
| 897 | 920 | 47% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
| 933 | 975 | 44% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1040 | 1050 | 49% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 1122 | 38% | 2015-03-05 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 994.6 vs 1025.4 has a 45.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).