Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Finnish): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Won |
| 1114 | 1193 | 39% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1099 | 1086 | 52% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2023-09-18 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1051 | 58% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1257 | 947 | 86% | 2021-10-23 | Won |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1051 | 967 | 62% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 1247 | 1063 | 74% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1065 | 1014 | 57% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 879 | 1016 | 31% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 956 | 1035 | 39% | 2016-04-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1123 | 38% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1106 | 1016 | 63% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1076.1 vs 1045.1 has a 54.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).