Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Finnish): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2024-11-09 | Won |
| 1126 | 1135 | 49% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1078 | 50% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 946 | 63% | 2023-09-18 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1031 | 56% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1197 | 996 | 76% | 2021-10-23 | Won |
| 1206 | 1012 | 75% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1018 | 961 | 58% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 1275 | 985 | 84% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 879 | 1012 | 32% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 957 | 1038 | 39% | 2016-04-16 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1046 | 49% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1024 | 62% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1015.3 has a 58.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).