Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Finnish): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2024-11-09 | Won |
| 1114 | 1200 | 38% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1102 | 1086 | 52% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 988 | 1066 | 39% | 2023-09-18 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1051 | 58% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1275 | 972 | 85% | 2021-10-23 | Won |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 1247 | 1052 | 75% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 878 | 947 | 40% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 956 | 1037 | 39% | 2016-04-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1064 | 47% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1016 | 63% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 1029.5 has a 57.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).