Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Finnish): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2024-11-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1223 | 40% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1078 | 1077 | 50% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2023-09-18 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1068 | 47% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1193 | 986 | 77% | 2021-10-23 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1051 | 931 | 67% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 1254 | 983 | 83% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 956 | 1038 | 38% | 2016-04-16 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1082 | 44% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1024 | 62% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1043.9 has a 53.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).