A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (17 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (British): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2025-11-12 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1236 | 980 | 81% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1116 | 851 | 82% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 897 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 878 | 1078 | 24% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1204 | 1256 | 43% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1185 | 1140 | 56% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1024 | 1011 | 52% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1226 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1117 | 26% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1211 | 891 | 86% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1127 | 1123 | 51% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1045 | 966 | 61% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1034.2 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).