A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (17 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (British): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2025-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2024-06-12 | | Tied |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2022-01-17 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2018-01-16 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2017-08-26 | | Won |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2017-05-30 | | Won |
| 898 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2016-03-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1259 | 18% | 2016-03-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2015-11-12 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2015-10-10 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1226 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1147 | 23% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2015-10-08 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1120 | 53% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 961 | 68% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1035.3 has a 49.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).