A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (16 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
| 1108 | 966 | 69% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1189 | 1112 | 61% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1151 | 858 | 84% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 898 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1290 | 1000 | 84% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1204 | 1277 | 40% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1202 | 1140 | 59% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1074 | 1011 | 59% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 990 | 1223 | 21% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1060 | 33% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1086 | 890 | 76% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1101 | 1107 | 49% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 979 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1091.9 vs 1047.6 has a 56.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).