A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
| 1106 | 965 | 69% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 896 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1290 | 973 | 86% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1203 | 1266 | 41% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1080 | 1014 | 59% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 1223 | 19% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1058 | 34% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1085 | 889 | 76% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1100 | 1110 | 49% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1125 | 980 | 70% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1085.4 vs 1012.5 has a 60.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).