A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (16 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (British): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
| 1110 | 935 | 73% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1141 | 924 | 78% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1133 | 858 | 83% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1039 | 1004 | 55% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 898 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1290 | 1036 | 81% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1204 | 1257 | 42% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1183 | 1152 | 54% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1051 | 996 | 58% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 1226 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1065 | 33% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1086 | 890 | 76% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1112 | 1106 | 51% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1070 | 979 | 63% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1084.4 vs 1031.9 has a 57.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).