Bats Outta Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (19 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 27
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1028 | 55% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1001 | 991 | 51% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1042 | 1062 | 47% | 2024-02-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 854 | 84% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1065 | 60% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 875 | 1125 | 19% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1099 | 49% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1103 | 49% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1077 | 1184 | 35% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 881 | 948 | 40% | 2017-02-07 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2017-02-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 968 | 58% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
| 1017 | 970 | 57% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 990 | 1019 | 46% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1017 | 1143 | 33% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 1033 has a 51.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).