Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 986 | 50% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1064 | 42% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 974 | 1218 | 20% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1060 | 49% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1078 | 1064 | 52% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 991 | 56% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1033 | 54% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 957 | 896 | 59% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1147 | 61% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1141 | 57% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1353 | 887 | 94% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1069 | 1006 | 59% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1082.4 vs 1041.1 has a 55.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).