Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 909 | 60% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 963 | 57% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1224 | 22% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1077 | 53% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1215 | 963 | 81% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 955 | 1097 | 31% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 980 | 985 | 49% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 961 | 1140 | 26% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 962 | 930 | 55% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1185 | 56% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1188 | 43% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1220 | 890 | 87% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1035 | 968 | 60% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1140 | 38% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1055.1 has a 49.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).