Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 939 | 56% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1186 | 27% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1198 | 36% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1077 | 53% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1191 | 1186 | 51% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1025 | 1017 | 51% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 972 | 51% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 961 | 1140 | 26% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 961 | 930 | 54% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 1102 | 34% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1202 | 53% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1160 | 47% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1077 | 959 | 66% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1140 | 38% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1076.1 has a 48.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).