Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 975 | 51% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1112 | 35% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 1277 | 15% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1189 | 1112 | 61% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1031 | 49% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 979 | 1140 | 28% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1107 | 40% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 949 | 930 | 53% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 998 | 900 | 64% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1163 | 59% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1148 | 48% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1144 | 890 | 81% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1076 | 1140 | 41% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 969 | 62% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1062.5 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).