Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (14 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 944 | 56% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1032 | 47% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 967 | 1193 | 21% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1032 | 49% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 931 | 930 | 50% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 966 | 899 | 60% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1169 | 58% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1141 | 49% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 889 | 81% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1029 | 984 | 56% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1035.4 has a 52.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).