Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 956 | 54% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 947 | 59% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 972 | 1274 | 15% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1102 | 50% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1021 | 51% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 1152 | 27% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 949 | 930 | 53% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 950 | 1017 | 40% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1164 | 59% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1154 | 47% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1069 | 1152 | 38% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 969 | 58% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1049.6 has a 50.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).