Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (13 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 978 | 51% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 944 | 1190 | 20% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1069 | 51% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1181 | 1011 | 73% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1035 | 55% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 944 | 898 | 57% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1141 | 62% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1182 | 50% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1139 | 889 | 81% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 984 | 60% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1068.7 vs 1038.4 has a 54.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).