Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1005 | 44% | 2021-08-08 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-20 | | Lost |
| 917 | 1217 | 15% | 2020-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 995 | 51% | 2020-08-26 | | Won |
| 942 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-01-16 | | Won |
| 1052 | 971 | 61% | 2017-05-08 | | Lost |
| 919 | 1041 | 33% | 2017-03-25 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1158 | 27% | 2016-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1183 | 28% | 2016-02-15 | | Lost |
| 871 | 1000 | 32% | 2016-01-31 | | Lost |
| 889 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1168 | 59% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2015-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1059 | 941 | 66% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1158 | 42% | 2015-10-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 996.7 vs 1054.3 has a 41.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).