Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 954 | 54% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1026 | 48% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1277 | 18% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1075 | 54% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1206 | 1026 | 74% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1001 | 53% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 1151 | 27% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 969 | 930 | 56% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 953 | 1015 | 41% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1171 | 58% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1128 | 51% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1217 | 890 | 87% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1151 | 36% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 969 | 56% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1059 vs 1057.1 has a 50.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).