Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 905 | 61% | 2021-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 1245 | 40% | 2020-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2020-08-26 | | Won |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2018-01-16 | | Won |
| 974 | 1077 | 36% | 2017-05-08 | | Lost |
| 982 | 998 | 48% | 2017-03-25 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1141 | 26% | 2016-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2016-02-15 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1000 | 45% | 2016-01-31 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2016-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1215 | 52% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2015-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1078 | 959 | 66% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1141 | 37% | 2015-10-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1063.8 has a 46.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).