Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 925 | 1108 | 26% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 854 | 1021 | 28% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1061 | 960 | 64% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1034 | 964 | 60% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 983 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1205 | 24% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1047 | 46% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 877 | 930 | 42% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 960 | 960 | 50% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1093 | 53% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1113 | 61% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1106 | 909 | 76% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1093 | 945 | 70% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1093 | 1205 | 34% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020 vs 1040.8 has a 47.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).