Catching the Bear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (3 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1144 | 45% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2022-09-16 | Lost |
| 984 | 1141 | 29% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1013.7 vs 1107 has a 36.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).