The Spearhead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 1089 | 57% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1069 | 40% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 762 | 1197 | 8% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 964 | 1216 | 19% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1153 | 36% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1242 | 34% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1182 | 762 | 92% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
| 1036 | 995 | 56% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 878 | 991 | 34% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1014.8 vs 1079.3 has a 40.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).