The Spearhead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1030 | 68% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 748 | 1236 | 6% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 930 | 1218 | 16% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 973 | 1123 | 30% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1216 | 37% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1017 | 66% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 977 | 57% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 884 | 997 | 34% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 997.8 vs 1087 has a 37.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).