Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 1223 | 23% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
1149 | 951 | 76% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
947 | 945 | 50% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
991 | 1014 | 47% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
1014 | 1209 | 25% | 2020-10-12 | Won |
753 | 1209 | 7% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2019-06-30 | Won |
1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
1058 | 982 | 61% | 2017-09-21 | Lost |
986 | 1316 | 13% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1022.4 vs 1086.7 has a 40.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).