Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 870 | 940 | 40% | 2025-07-28 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1203 | 28% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 1201 | 951 | 81% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1021 | 1063 | 44% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 1037 | 1003 | 55% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 1281 | 19% | 2020-10-12 | Won |
| 735 | 1281 | 4% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 930 | 80% | 2019-06-30 | Won |
| 1174 | 930 | 80% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2017-09-21 | Lost |
| 986 | 1333 | 12% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1029.7 vs 1081.5 has a 42.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).