Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 870 | 870 | 50% | 2025-07-28 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1189 | 35% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 1142 | 951 | 75% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1044 | 1061 | 48% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1036 | 43% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 1008 | 1268 | 18% | 2020-10-12 | Won |
| 747 | 1268 | 5% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2019-06-30 | Won |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1057 | 982 | 61% | 2017-09-21 | Lost |
| 986 | 1329 | 12% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1015.6 vs 1091.3 has a 39.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).