Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 871 | 941 | 40% | 2025-07-28 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1176 | 30% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 1151 | 950 | 76% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 1007 | 1031 | 47% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1256 | 21% | 2020-10-12 | Won |
| 754 | 1256 | 5% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 1113 | 993 | 67% | 2019-06-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 993 | 67% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2017-09-21 | Lost |
| 985 | 1252 | 18% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1010.4 vs 1073.2 has a 41.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).