Raid on Moerdijk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (5 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch / French): 3
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1049 | 62% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2018-01-31 | Won |
949 | 1327 | 10% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1023 vs 1013.8 has a 51.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).