Raid on Moerdijk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (6 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch / French): 4
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-05-20 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1044 | 63% | 2018-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2018-01-31 | | Won |
| 901 | 1224 | 13% | 2016-12-30 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-01-01 | | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1002 vs 990.8 has a 51.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).