Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (19 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1211 | 1234 | 47% | 2025-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 1120 | 63% | 2024-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 969 | 76% | 2024-06-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2024-02-26 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2024-02-20 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 907 | 70% | 2023-01-13 | | Won |
| 978 | 970 | 51% | 2022-10-05 | | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-09-14 | | Won |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2021-11-30 | | Won |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2021-11-28 | | Won |
| 957 | 978 | 47% | 2021-11-13 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2021-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-10-03 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1012 | 66% | 2020-05-25 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1134 | 36% | 2018-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1059 | 71% | 2016-08-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1024.2 has a 52.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).