Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (18 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1074 | 64% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1359 | 34% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2024-02-26 | Lost |
| 892 | 873 | 53% | 2024-02-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 997 | 54% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1039 | 918 | 67% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1023 | 970 | 58% | 2022-10-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
| 940 | 864 | 61% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
| 940 | 864 | 61% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 974 | 1023 | 43% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 950 | 876 | 60% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1209 | 38% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1029 | 1214 | 26% | 2019-02-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1191 | 29% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-11-27 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1059 | 63% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1040.2 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).