Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (16 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 911 | 63% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 997 | 971 | 54% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1008 | 971 | 55% | 2021-12-25 | Lost |
| 971 | 963 | 51% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1054 | 846 | 77% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1148 | 971 | 73% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 920 | 983 | 41% | 2021-08-18 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1032 | 61% | 2021-06-30 | Lost |
| 907 | 989 | 38% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 978 | 60% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 881 | 989 | 35% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 949 | 1158 | 23% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1204 | 24% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
| 989 | 1133 | 30% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 935 | 1192 | 19% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 994.5 vs 1016.8 has a 46.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).