Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (16 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 999 | 45% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 894 | 952 | 42% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1081 | 1010 | 60% | 2021-12-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 980 | 54% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1096 | 889 | 77% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1010 | 76% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1064 | 976 | 62% | 2021-08-18 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1048 | 59% | 2021-06-30 | Lost |
| 1214 | 973 | 80% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 975 | 962 | 52% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 962 | 63% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 878 | 973 | 37% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 1158 | 27% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 935 | 1102 | 28% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1021.6 has a 50.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).