Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (16 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 1001 | 43% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 895 | 967 | 40% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1099 | 1041 | 58% | 2021-12-25 | Lost |
| 1041 | 967 | 60% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1096 | 927 | 73% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1041 | 78% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 937 | 1061 | 33% | 2021-08-18 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1048 | 57% | 2021-06-30 | Lost |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 953 | 64% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 879 | 741 | 69% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 1158 | 27% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 935 | 1203 | 18% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1005.1 vs 1009.9 has a 49.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).