Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (31 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (Belgian ): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 955 | 66% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 867 | 880 | 48% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1023 | 70% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1173 | 1048 | 67% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1173 | 1048 | 67% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 991 | 903 | 62% | 2020-02-10 | Won |
| 1063 | 1024 | 56% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1022 | 1275 | 19% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1094 | 42% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1065 | 44% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 907 | 66% | 2017-08-19 | Lost |
| 1083 | 897 | 74% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 976 | 1065 | 37% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 947 | 981 | 45% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1139 | 33% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1139 | 33% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1083 | 69% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 1138 | 35% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 902 | 1114 | 23% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1022 | 62% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1063 | 44% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1148 | 39% | 2017-03-07 | Won |
| 946 | 1071 | 33% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 947 | 1044 | 36% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1046.9 vs 1052.9 has a 49.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).