Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (37 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Belgian ): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 940 | 53% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 1083 | 1085 | 50% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1268 | 38% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1003 | 76% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1013 | 1170 | 29% | 2024-12-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 948 | 65% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 866 | 911 | 44% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1203 | 1063 | 69% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1203 | 1063 | 69% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1203 | 1067 | 69% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2020-02-10 | Won |
| 1037 | 1018 | 53% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1162 | 31% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1109 | 40% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1082 | 42% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 950 | 60% | 2017-08-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 897 | 72% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1082 | 35% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 975 | 966 | 51% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 1083 | 38% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1149 | 37% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1149 | 37% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1085 | 67% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 1113 | 1058 | 58% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 929 | 1138 | 23% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1100 | 53% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 1037 | 47% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1169 | 35% | 2017-03-07 | Won |
| 975 | 1044 | 40% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1053 | 44% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1064.5 has a 49.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).