Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (38 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 75
Defender wins (Belgian ): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 940 | 51% | 2025-02-19 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1004 | 74% | 2025-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1289 | 38% | 2025-01-02 | D | Lost |
| 1202 | 954 | 81% | 2024-12-27 | | Won |
| 949 | 1161 | 23% | 2024-12-24 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2024-02-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2021-03-16 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-08-23 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1066 | 69% | 2020-04-05 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1066 | 69% | 2020-04-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2020-04-05 | | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2020-02-10 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1013 | 57% | 2019-02-09 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1138 | 33% | 2018-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2018-05-05 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1108 | 40% | 2017-08-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2017-08-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2017-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 898 | 75% | 2017-08-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2017-08-04 | | Won |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | 2017-07-28 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2017-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 1132 | 38% | 2017-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 1132 | 38% | 2017-06-15 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1004 | 76% | 2017-05-19 | | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-04-27 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1167 | 37% | 2017-04-23 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1134 | 21% | 2017-04-22 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2017-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1132 | 52% | 2017-03-29 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1059 | 43% | 2017-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1175 | 27% | 2017-03-07 | | Won |
| 1117 | 1098 | 53% | 2017-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-02-19 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2017-02-16 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-02-16 | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1062.1 has a 50.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).