Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (37 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Belgian ): 63
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 957 | 49% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 1075 | 1112 | 45% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1256 | 30% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 1179 | 938 | 80% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1044 | 1170 | 33% | 2024-12-24 | Won |
| 1092 | 949 | 69% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 866 | 917 | 43% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1179 | 1063 | 66% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1179 | 1063 | 66% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2020-02-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 1004 | 53% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1008 | 1208 | 24% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1108 | 40% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1082 | 42% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 974 | 57% | 2017-08-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 897 | 72% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1082 | 35% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1024 | 966 | 58% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1149 | 37% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1149 | 37% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1112 | 63% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 1109 | 1092 | 52% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1105 | 1123 | 47% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 902 | 1183 | 17% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1065 | 58% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 1004 | 1028 | 47% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1196 | 35% | 2017-03-07 | Won |
| 1024 | 986 | 55% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1062.6 has a 49.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).