The Block on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (11 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1003 | 37% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 1039 | 66% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 906 | 1066 | 28% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 979 | 1040 | 41% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1076 | 47% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
| 969 | 1009 | 44% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 928 | 1141 | 23% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 920 | 1070 | 30% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1141 | 1174 | 45% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1003.8 vs 1072.3 has a 40.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).