The Block on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1021 | 55% | 2024-10-12 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1039 | 63% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1077 | 27% | 2020-05-08 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 986 | 60% | 2018-11-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2018-10-06 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1134 | 21% | 2018-08-04 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2017-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-10-04 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1141 | 51% | 2017-10-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1067 has a 45.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).