The Block on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (11 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1003 | 43% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1057 | 1039 | 53% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 906 | 1077 | 27% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 979 | 1031 | 43% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1076 | 43% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
| 1046 | 977 | 60% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 928 | 1153 | 21% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 926 | 1045 | 34% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 991 | 1117 | 33% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1153 | 1155 | 50% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1008.1 vs 1066.3 has a 41.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).