A Grain of Sand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 19
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1014 | 918 | 63% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1081 | 57% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 994 | 1032 | 45% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1210 | 42% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1082 | 1145 | 41% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2018-04-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2018-04-05 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1084 | 42% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1096 | 78% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1097 vs 1078.6 has a 52.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).