A Grain of Sand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (9 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 13
Defender wins (German): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1024 | 924 | 64% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
1198 | 1209 | 48% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2018-04-05 | Won |
985 | 1198 | 23% | 2018-04-05 | Lost |
1027 | 1030 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
1300 | 1093 | 77% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 1067.4 has a 53.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).