A Grain of Sand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 19
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1002 | 51% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1013 | 920 | 63% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1056 | 60% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1164 | 35% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1209 | 40% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 1132 | 35% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2018-04-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1140 | 27% | 2018-04-05 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1065 | 45% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1118 | 1164 | 43% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1081.9 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).