The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1061 | 32% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 1033 | 49% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 918 | 960 | 44% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 937 | 75% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1226 | 1047 | 74% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 1049 | 1050 | 50% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1203 | 954 | 81% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 958 | 63% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1145 | 937 | 77% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1082 | 47% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1092.2 vs 988.5 has a 64.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).