The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1062 | 37% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 993 | 1033 | 44% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 937 | 975 | 45% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1195 | 860 | 87% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1223 | 905 | 86% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 989 | 1079 | 37% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1195 | 929 | 82% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1050 | 958 | 63% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1149 | 860 | 84% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1223 | 1133 | 63% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1084 | 46% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1081.7 vs 990.2 has a 62.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).