The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
958 | 1065 | 35% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
961 | 1035 | 40% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
780 | 987 | 23% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
1159 | 1016 | 69% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
1225 | 1142 | 62% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
1059 | 1067 | 49% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
1104 | 982 | 67% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
1088 | 977 | 65% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
936 | 1016 | 39% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
1058 | 1030 | 54% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1035.6 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).