The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1060 | 26% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 917 | 962 | 44% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1193 | 39% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1226 | 1014 | 77% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 949 | 1080 | 32% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1194 | 940 | 81% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 958 | 63% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1196 | 1193 | 50% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1082 | 47% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1077.2 vs 1031.7 has a 56.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).