The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2022-11-05 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1033 | 51% | 2022-01-31 | | Won |
| 967 | 970 | 50% | 2022-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2020-12-17 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-11-12 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2020-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2018-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2018-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2018-08-06 | | Won |
| 1033 | 959 | 60% | 2018-08-03 | | Won |
| 1194 | 1000 | 75% | 2018-08-01 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2018-07-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1077.2 vs 985 has a 62.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).