The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 1057 | 27% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1089 | 1033 | 58% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 888 | 970 | 38% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1226 | 1217 | 51% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 948 | 1040 | 37% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1083 | 995 | 62% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 969 | 959 | 51% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1039 | 73% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1007 | 57% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1030.5 has a 54.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).