Balloons, Cakes and Ponies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1079 | 953 | 67% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1197 | 916 | 83% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1075 | 58% | 2018-11-22 | Lost |
| 953 | 1109 | 29% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1016 | 58% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1311 | 934 | 90% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 916 | 1204 | 16% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1094.1 vs 1029.6 has a 59.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).