Twilight's Last Gleaming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (7 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1029 | 58% | 2026-01-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2025-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2022-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1139 | 42% | 2022-03-20 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2016-12-19 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2001-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 974 vs 1070 has a 36.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).