Twilight's Last Gleaming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (3 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 1036 | 62% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1080 | 41% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1090 vs 1092 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).