True Grit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (13 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 25
Defender wins (Dutch): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1263 | 28% | 2023-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 951 | 62% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 962 | 1039 | 39% | 2020-10-07 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-08-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1344 | 12% | 2019-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 913 | 81% | 2019-04-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2019-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2018-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1240 | 24% | 2018-12-08 | | Won |
| 1075 | 987 | 62% | 2018-12-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2018-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2018-10-05 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1063.3 vs 1077.9 has a 47.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).